Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

نویسندگان

چکیده

The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on timescales short enough to challenge capacity of human societies adapt environmental pressures. In many cases, arise from slow one component eventually pass a critical threshold, or tipping point, after which impacts cascade through coupled climate–ecological–social systems. chance detecting and points increases with length observations. provides only long-term information we have conditions processes drive physical, ecological social systems into new states organizational structures may be irreversible within time frames. Here, use well-documented past 30 kyr illustrate how their system. We review useful indicators upcoming changes, early warning signals, provide perspective contributions palaeoclimate science understanding A synthesis intervals rapid climatic change evident reveals some could lead similar events future.

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1 Department of Archaeology and Anthropology, Bristol University, Bristol, UK 2 Department of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK 3 Institute of Hazard , Risk and Resilience, Durham University, Durham, UK 4 School of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Durham University, Durham, UK 5 Department of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Durham, UK 6 Durham University Business School, Dur...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Nature Geoscience

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1752-0894', '1752-0908']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5